Stu Burguiere didn’t expect Predictable to take off quite this fast, but the numbers tell a different story. Since launching earlier this year after 28 years alongside Glenn Beck on The Glenn Beck Program, Burguiere has built a show around prediction markets that’s already found homes on both The First and Blaze TV.
Growth like that doesn’t happen by accident, and Burguiere has a theory about why it happened to him.
“You hope for the best, of course,” Burguiere said. “We were hoping for it to grow, but it has grown a little bit faster than we thought it was going to. It’s been a really big time. People are learning about these prediction markets for the first time, and they’re trying to understand them, so we have a really interesting crossover — sort of the perfect storm of the prediction market rise, plus a very intense election, where people who are already obsessed with politics are looking for ways to put their own opinions to the test.”
That crossover sits at the center of everything Burguiere is building. Prediction markets have moved from a niche corner of finance into mainstream conversation, and political junkies have followed right behind them. Few hosts, though, arrived with the background Burguiere brings to the format.
A Perfect Storm a Decade in the Making
“I’ve been using prediction markets for more than a decade,” Burguiere said. “It wasn’t like me just trying to jump into these things because I watched the news a lot or follow politics closely — it’s something I had deep experience with before we even started the show. That’s one of the reasons why we’ve tried to combine programming that can connect with people who trade on these markets, but also a lot of educational stuff to bring people along.”
A major legal shift also cleared the runway for shows like his. Kalshi’s 2024 court win against federal regulators opened the door for prediction markets to expand well beyond their old academic-letter arrangement, and Burguiere watched valuations climb as a result.
“There was a big legal ruling as well, with Kalshi winning a lawsuit in late 2024,” said Burguiere. “That really was able to unleash these things, to grow their place in the landscape so much. Once that door was open, everyone was like, well, wait a minute, we can get in on this too. It was funny, because I’d been talking about doing a show like this for years and years, whether there was going to be a ruling or not.”
Timing aside, Burguiere insists the content itself comes naturally to him. He’s spent decades talking politics on the radio, and applying probabilities to that world is second nature by now.
“The content itself is probably the easiest part for me, because it’s something I really am passionate about,” Burguiere said. “I love the big traders and all my nerds that are like me, but most people want entertaining programming first and foremost. What they’re going for is the information prediction markets bring. They can cut through the media noise unlike any other thing humanity’s ever come up with.”
Election Day Is the Super Bowl, But the Season Doesn’t End There
Midterms are closing in fast, and Stu Burguiere isn’t sleeping much these days. Even so, he’s careful not to treat November as the finish line for Predictable.
“I haven’t slept in a while,” Burguiere said. “I’ve eliminated that from my life for now. And for the next six weeks it’s going as hard as possible. It is sort of like the Super Bowl. It’s interesting because you’re building to this one big day. And that can be kind of scary. Because I’m doing my best to analyze these elections, but crazy things happen on Election Day.”
Life after the midterms, Burguiere argues, is where the real business lives. Culture, sports, and the early jockeying for 2028 will all keep the show’s content pipeline full.
“If that’s what the show is, we’ll come and go — I’m sure there’s a business there — but if we want to make this part of people’s everyday lives, we have to do a lot more than that,” said Burguiere. “This is going to start really, really fast — we’re going to be into the 2028 thing immediately. There are contracts on the primaries. Who’s going to run, who’s going to endorse who — there are a hundred million things.”
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